There is a thin chance for Australia to pull off a historic victory….if not, then they can get out of 0-3 humiliation.
Here is why – unlike other games played at Galle there is more bounce and less unevenness. Even on day 4 the ball was coming easy to bat and spinners were playable. It was easy to play square of the wicket, but still avoid playing on day 5!.
The day will depend on how Aussies counter Sri Lanka’s new ball spin duo of Hearth/D Perera. Once they can reign their threat they need to stick around as long as they can… Twice in this test match wickets didn’t fall in for 4 successive hours!. This was the first time in this series that wickets didn’t fall in the entire session let alone 2 session.
Now as far as runs are concerned – throughout 4 days of test cricket run-rate has steadily risen irrespective who was batting.
Here is R/O at end of each day.
End of day one – -2.37
End of day two– 3.28
End of day three – 4.40
End of day four – 3.29
Runs per over during each break of 3rd Test match.These run rate are exclusive of each other. It starts from day 1 drinks break when the run-rate was 1.64, and ends on day four last session when the run-rate was 3.78(125 runs scored of 33 overs).
|Runs per over during each break of 2nd Test test match.|
|Runs per over during each break of 1st Test test match.|
Hence for Australia Warner is their key batsman and if he can stay around for 30 odd overs, than chances of losing will fade and winning might become possible. In all format Warner thrives on partnerships, hence building (bridge)them is key to his batting. Here Voges and Nevill would work as his ideal partners, they have the skill to bat for long period of time and cease any batting collapse.
All data is updated at end of day 4 of 3rd Test match.