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From Champions Trophy in UK, till end of 4th ODI (SA in SL) 34 games ODIs were played and only 7 times teams batted first after winning the toss, suggesting almost 80.00% of them field first in last 2 months…
since renewed field restriction (11th Nov 2012) 84 games have been played, and (69.51%) teams chose to field after winning the toss. For them the success rate is 50.87%
So the question is
Why do teams bowl first after winning the toss ?
Reason being winning % is much higher if they bowl first (51.72%) and if they are able to restrict their opponents under 250, than winning % climbs to 64%.
It indicates they trust their bowlers to pick regular wickets at top end of batting order consistently, and have less faith in their top order to score runs at beginning of an inning.
This trend became very apparent in Champions Trophy where only 4 teams(15 games) batted first after winning the toss, and in the next series it went 100% , a tri series in WI (WI SL IND) where in 7 games none batted first after winning the toss, then once again it continued – WI PAK series where none batted first after winning the toss.
So let us look at basic indices of each condition we apply in 84 ODIs
|
Condition applied |
Mt |
Won |
|
Toss & bat |
26 |
10 (38.46%) |
|
Toss, bat & score >250 |
10 |
6 (60.00%) |
|
Toss & Field(1st bowl) |
58 |
30 (51.72%) |
|
Toss, field(1st bowl) & restrict < 250 |
36 |
23(63.88%) |
A) Toss and bat
When teams bat first after winning the toss, the average score is 232 – and in 26 games we only saw 5 centuries scored by their batsmen- and about 52.58% were dismissed inside 10 runs- and 34.75 % of them were dismissed (L B W & BOWLED)
Here is a table featuring batting indices
| Bat | Toss & bat first |
| Mts | 26 |
| Won | 10 |
| Bat avg | 28.39 |
| r/o | 4.96 |
| B /w | 34.32 |
| Balls /ss | 2.24 |
| SS /balls | 44.50 |
| Centuries | 5 |
| (<10 runs) dismissals | 52.58% |
| L B W + Bowled | 34.74% |
| Singles Rate | 30.27/100 balls |
| Boundary rate | 8.11/100 balls |
| Partnerships | Avg runs |
| 1st wkt | 14.84 |
| 2nd wkt | 21.07 |
| 3rd wkt | 21.84 |
| 4th wkt | 18.34 |
| Top 4 Batsmen | Avg Runs |
| Bat No 1 | 32.73 |
| Bat No 2 | 31.42 |
| Bat No 3 | 31.50 |
| Bat No 4 | 27.92 |
| Over phase | Avg score |
| End of 10th overs | 40-2 |
| End of 20th over | 82-3 |
| End of 30th over | 122-3 |
| End of 40th over | 162-5 |
| Last 10 overs | 50.00 |
| 4 or more wickets | 12 |
B ) Toss and bowl first
| Bowl | Toss & 1st bowl |
| Mts | 58 |
| Won | 30 |
| Bowl Avg | 30.60 |
| r/o | 5.10 |
| B /w | 36.00 |
| Balls /ss | 2.24 |
| SS /balls | 44.50 |
| Centuries | 21 |
| (<10 runs) dismissals | 53.42 |
| L B W + Bowled | 27.39% |
| Singles Rate | 30.44 |
| Boundary rate | 8.50 |
| Partnerships | Avg runs |
| 1st wkt | 15.00 |
| 2nd wkt | 12.58 |
| 3rd wkt | 22.82 |
| 4th wkt | 18.00 |
| Top 4 Batsmen | Avg Runs |
| Bat No 1 | 28.29 |
| Bat No 2 | 32.79 |
| Bat No 3 | 34.60 |
| Bat No 4 | 29.24 |
| Over phase | Avg score |
| End of 10th overs | 38-1 |
| End of 20th over | 81-3 |
| End of 30th over | 116-3 |
| End of 40th over | 151-4 |
| Last 10 overs | 31 runs |
| 4 or more wickets | 16 |
Day night games (40 D/N games)
| Day night games (40 games) | Mt | Won |
| Toss & bat | 17 | 8 (47.05%) |
| Toss, bat & score >250 | 7 | 4 (57.14%) |
| Toss & Field(1st bowl) | 23 | 11 (47.82%) |
| Toss, field(1st bowl) & restrict < 250 | 13 | 7(53.84%) |
4 games had no result favoring one team. 3 were abandoned, 1 tied.
| Toss -under lights | 1st Bat | 2nd Bowl |
| Mts | 17 | 23 |
| Won | 8(47.05%) | 11(47.82%) |
| Avg | 27.98 | 29.58 |
| r/o | 5.00 | 5.10 |
| B /w | 33.65 | 34.86 |
| Balls /ss | 2.24 | 2.23 |
| SS /balls | 44.53 | 44.66 |
| Centuries | 4 | 8 |
| (<10 runs) dismissals | 54.28% | 55.23% |
| L B W + Bowled | 32.14% | 32.55% |
| Singles Rate | 30.35 | 30.40 |
| Boundary rate | 8.34 | 8.75 |
| Partnerships | Avg runs | Avg runs |
| 1st wkt | 18.412 | 16.57 |
| 2nd wkt | 28.471 | 17.27 |
| 3rd wkt | 24.294 | 27.14 |
| 4th wkt | 19.824 | 22.41 |
| Top 4 Batsmen | Avg Runs | Avg runs |
| Bat No 1 | 31.824 | 27.21 |
| Bat No 2 | 33.588 | 24.39 |
| Bat No 3 | 29.647 | 40.90 |
| Bat No 4 | 26.588 | 28.40 |
| Over phase | Avg score | Avg score |
| End of 10th overs | 41-2 | 36-1 |
| End of 20th over | 82-3 | 80-3 |
| End of 30th over | 131-3 | 128-4 |
| End of 40th over | 183-5 | 173-5 |
| Last 10 overs | 56 | 39-1 |
| 4 or more wickets | 8 | 3 |
All data is processed/updated before the 5th ODI SA in SL (31st July, 2013)
